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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Australia Focus Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
Christmas Day 2025 in Melbourne is expected to be warm and mostly fine, with the live forecast above showing a classic summer day. Temperatures typically reach the mid‑20s to low 30s Celsius, though afternoon heat and a possible cool change are always on the cards.
What’s the typical Christmas weather in Melbourne?
Christmas in Melbourne usually means a summer day with average maximums around 25–27°C, but it can swing from a mild 18°C to a scorching 40°C+. Rain is possible – roughly a one‑in‑four chance – often from an afternoon sea‑breeze or a southerly change. Inland parts like Christmas Hills tend to be a few degrees warmer than the city centre.
Will it be a hot or mild Christmas this year?
Long‑range outlooks suggest near‑average temperatures for much of Victoria in late December. A blocking high over the Tasman could keep the heat in the north and east, while Melbourne sits under a mix of sun and cloud. For the most reliable picture, check the Bureau of Meteorology’s seven‑day forecast in the week before Christmas.
Is Christmas Day usually sunny in Melbourne?
Partly cloudy to sunny is the most common pattern, with average sunshine of about 8–9 hours. However, a southerly change can bring morning cloud that clears by afternoon, or vice versa.
What should I pack for Melbourne’s Christmas weather?
Light layers are essential: a t‑shirt or dress for the heat, plus a light jacket or cardigan for a possible evening cool change. Sunscreen and a hat are a must, and an umbrella or poncho can save the day if a shower rolls in.
Does it ever snow on Christmas in Melbourne?
No – snow on Christmas Day is extremely unlikely in Melbourne. The city’s lowest recorded Christmas temperature is 9.4°C (1961), far too warm for snow. The nearby hills are also too low for summer snowfall.
Sources
- Bureau of Meteorology – Climate Data
- Weatherzone – Long‑Range Forecasts
- Elders Weather – Seasonal Outlook
For more detail on Melbourne’s general weather patterns, visit our Australia weather hub.